What he predicts, and he is hardly the only one, is an ultimate breakdown of Syria into three ethnic enclaves: "the Kurds in the northeast of the country, who have links to Iraqi Kurds, Allawites in the coastal region linked to Damascus via a corridor, and Sunnis in the north.
I emphasize here once again the significance of the regional nature of the struggle in Syria, as elsewhere. Sunnis from outside of Syria join those within, Kurds in Syria connect with those outside, Lebanon has been drawn in via Hezbollah. The old Middle East is falling apart.
Consider this: Israel is standing with the Gulf states, and most notably Saudi Arabia, in supporting the military in Egypt, while the US is, in effect, standing with Turkey, Qatar and Iran, which are on the side of the Brotherhood.
And this: there have been rallies by Israeli Arabs in support of the Brotherhood in Egypt. A hint as to what we're coping with in regard to an increasingly radical population inside our borders.
"Moreover, over the last two years, Gaza has become a base for Salafis from all over the Arab world seeking military training. The senior official said that most of the training camps are run by Mumtaz Dughmush, the head of Jaish al-Islam. The group gets money from individuals and organizations abroad that support global jihad, and its courses last several weeks. Its trainees then go on to Sinai, Syria, Yemen and elsewhere."
What happens when we pull out. And the reason why the military in Turkey has bombed the tunnels between Gaza and the Sinai.
Four Katyusha rockets were fired from Lebanon late yesterday. Two landed in northern Israel, but there were no casualties. No one has claimed credit, but according to IDF intelligence it was not Hezbollah but rather a Sunni jihadist group that is responsible. This is being seen as an attempt to lure Israel into the war, and, presumably for this reason, Israel has not returned fire.
With all of the truly serious and dangerous problems with which Israel must cope, we have to be saddled right now with a ridiculous "peace process" as well???
Of course, our behavior is the most serious and dangerous of all: We are building houses! I know how bad this is, because that beacon of peace and truth, Hanan Ashrawi of the PLO says so. Right?
I recently came across a description of her that I found really neat:
"Hanan Ashrawi is to truth as cigarettes are to health." I'll second that.
As to the negotiations, I share what the PA is saying (since no one else is talking, per the request from Kerry).
It is the aforementioned Ashrawi who claims, strangely, that Israel has asked the US participants to leave the room during negotiations "to exploit their power over the Palestinians," without the Americans witnessing this. A very strange claim indeed, as Indyk, who represents the US in the talks, is not on Israel's side.
Said Ashrawi, "These are not two-way negotiations." Ah, but only two-way negotiations can succeed. A third party cannot coerced "peace."
Then there is Abbas, who told a delegation from the Meretz party visiting Ramallah that there has been absolutely no progress in the peace talks.
I allude above to the ineffectiveness of the UN. But it's not just ineffectiveness, it's endemic bias. See here an article about UN Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon, backtracking on an earlier statement and now claiming that Israel suffers no bias in the UN:
My apologies: a recalcitrant computer has delayed this posting and required me to make it shorter than I would have preferred. Now, Shabbat preparations call...