Hamas leaders made a grave mistake this week:
they rejected Egypt's cease-fire proposal, spitting in the face of the
one powerful nation on which they are completely dependent • But Israel
must ensure that Hamas, though weakened, remains on the scene.
Publicly insulted by Hamas.
Egyptian President Abed Fattah el-Sissi
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Photo credit: EPA |
Hamas' refusal to agree to the cease-fire deal
proposed by Egypt and its insistence on continuing to fire rockets
toward Israel is reminiscent of the hardheartedness displayed by Egypt's
Pharaoh. When examining his decisions from a sober-minded historical
perspective, one comes to the conclusion that the Egyptian ruler should
have internalized the fact that he was dealing with forces that were
much more powerful than him and his magicians.
Without going overboard with this analogy, one
can safely conclude that the Hamas leadership is beset by the same
failures in understanding the reality of their day just as the evil
pharaoh was delinquent in the same regard. Hamas has brought upon itself
and its people a series of calamities that apparently won't end in the
near future.
Thus far, the Palestinians under Hamas'
stewardship have sustained massive casualties, with many dead and
wounded as well as enormous damage to property. The three most obvious
examples of the group's shortsightedness were highlighted by Operation
Cast Lead in 2008-2009, Operation Pillar of Defense in 2012, and
Operation Protective Edge, currently underway. Hamas is once again being
battered. By virtue of its own errant decision-making and poor
judgment, the organization is leading its people on a march of folly
toward the gates of hell.
The first grievous error committed by Hamas
was that it turned Egypt into an enemy, and deservedly so, for the time
being at least. The group's alienation of Cairo can be traced back to
its close collaboration with Islamist terrorist groups in the Sinai as
well as their ideological twins in the Muslim Brotherhood. This
partnership has exacted a steep price in blood, as demonstrated by the
acts of terrorism witnesses inside Egypt.
As a result, newly installed Egyptian ruler
Abed Fattah el-Sissi and his cohorts dealt Hamas a real death blow. The
Egyptian security services liquidated the military and financial
infrastructures of Hamas' Sinai-based terror collaborators. They also
crushed the Muslim Brotherhood movement in Egypt while destroying most
of the tunnels that run underneath the Rafah crossing -- tunnels that
were used to smuggle arms. And that is just the beginning from Egypt's
perspective.
This is how this criminal organization became a
desperate group, whose hungry operatives are hiding in tunnels like
mice while surrounded by useless rockets. Now, after Israel withdrew
from Gaza permanently, Hamas is demanding that its borders be opened and
its needs be met.
Loath to being saddled with the burden posed
by the Gazan albatross, both Egypt and Israel have flatly denied Hamas'
request to lift the siege. Nobody seriously expects Israel to supply
Gaza with electricity and basic needs -- which are often converted into
explosives for rockets that are subsequently fired at it -- or cement,
which isn't used for construction of buildings and homes but for tunnels
and bunkers that allow Hamas operatives to shoot, kidnap, and murder
civilians.
Few people remember how the PLO and Hamas
banded together to force Palestinian laborers to eschew work in Israel.
Eventually, Israel adjusted accordingly, and the Gazans remained
unemployed.
It is quite clear why Egypt is steering clear
of the Hamas albatross. The subversive nature of its collaboration with
the Muslim Brotherhood set the tone for the Egyptian government's
hostility for the terror organization currently ruling Gaza. It goes
without saying that Egypt already has its hands full trying to placate
the millions of its poverty-stricken citizens. It doesn't need the
additional headache posed by the Palestinian issue.
That is why Egypt has been pushing Gaza, a
territory which it ruled until 1967, onto Israel like a hot potato.
Since Israel is adamant in its refusal to take responsibility over this
terrorist stronghold, the residents of the Strip are dependent entirely
on Egypt for their subsistence. Unfortunately, the Gazan population
hasn't sufficiently internalized this state of affairs.
By the very act of turning down the Egyptian
proposals for a cease-fire with Israel, the Hamas leadership has spit in
Cairo's face. This is how Hamas is repaying a country that has
supported the Palestinian cause and sacrificed some of its best fighters
in the Palestinians' name. Now Egypt is waiting to take its revenge
against the organization that publicly humiliated it. In the Arab world,
this brazen display of nerve and chutzpah never goes unpunished.
It will be difficult for the heads of the
Palestinian organizations in Gaza to repair the damage that was
inflicted by losing Egypt just as it sought to offer a helping hand.
They insulted Egypt at a time when it was seeking to restore its status
as a key power broker in the Arab world and a major regional player in
the eyes of the Western world while enjoying the backing of the Gulf
states, including Saudi Arabia.
Hamas said no to Egypt at a time when it is
maneuvering to build a united Arab front against Iran and the radical
Islamic enemies who threaten its domestic stability. It said no to Egypt
at a time when Sissi was working to build up political and diplomatic
credibility. Hamas' leaders arrogantly turned their backs on Sissi,
fraudulently claiming that the Egyptians never consulted with them
regarding the details of the cease-fire proposal.
Pity on the vanquished. Now would have been
the most appropriate time for Hamas, whose lifeline is dependent upon
the goodwill of Egypt, to show appropriate respect for the man in charge
in Cairo. By instead preferring Qatar and Turkey, two entities that are
geographically distant from the Gazan terrorist enclave, it is
committing a horrible misdeed.
Without Egypt's approval, Hamas won't be able
to import a feather. If anyone needed proof, just recently millions of
dollars that Qatar earmarked for the terrorist entity in Gaza were held
up, with Hamas powerless to complete the transfer. It was Israel, of all
countries, that agreed to Egypt's cease-fire proposal, further
cementing the Arab giant's old-new status as the leader of the Arab
world, a major player in the eyes of the United States and the West, and
a key factor in the formation of a united moderate front against Iran.
War criminals par excellence
When it comes to the Jews, serious mishaps and
errors usually end in forced resignations and commissions of inquiry.
For the Palestinians, however, disastrous results and misjudgments like
Operation Protective Edge usually lead to promotion through the ranks
and the elimination of enemies.
From a Palestinian perspective, a committee of
inquiry that would probe the circumstances that gave rise to this
operation would prompt the Hamas leadership -- which sent many young
Palestinians to their deaths in suicide operations -- to reach the
conclusion that they must all commit suicide in light of the holocaust
that they brought upon their people. But they are incapable of forming
such a committee.
The chain of events brought into stark focus
the painful reality that Egypt's policies toward the Gaza border meant
that Hamas was at a dead end. The organization tried to extricate itself
from the economic, military, and psychological blockade that was
imposed upon its operatives. It decided to violate the terms of the
cease-fire it had reached with Israel in 2012. Now Hamas is trying to
restore those understandings and turn back the clock as if it hadn't
attacked, murdered, and subsequently suffered defeat.
Despite the pathetic results that it produced
from its failed campaign of rocket attacks, Hamas operatives have been
late in grasping the significance of the strategic blow they had
absorbed. One of the missions of an army that operates according to a
vision is to deceive the enemy by maneuvering it to the point where it
equips itself with useless weaponry. The aim, therefore, is to goad the
enemy into wasting precious resources on armaments that offer no
operational benefit and which can be easily countered by the defending
army. This is exactly what Israel has done to Hamas (and perhaps also to
countries and terrorist organizations that surround Israel).
After building up their arsenal of rockets, it
became immediately apparent to them that they were no match for the
Iron Dome. With the exception of one dead Israeli, the fear sowed by the
sirens, and the injuries and damage caused by the rockets, the
considerable effort which the murderers poured into their arsenal went
right down the drain.
Having committed a major strategic blunder,
the organization's leadership will be forced to once again resort to the
miserable, tedious tactics of terrorist tunnels, attempted suicide
bombings, and abduction of soldiers. Hamas is currently at an all-time
low point. In the words of an Arab proverb: "The mud has become thinner
and more demanding." There won't be any good news waiting for the Hamas
leadership.
Bitterness and hysteria in Gaza
In the eyes of the world, Hamas has not become
"an underdog" as it had anticipated. On the contrary, its position has
only grown more precarious in light of its refusal to agree to a
cease-fire and its insistence on continuing to launch rockets on Israeli
population centers. Even if the organization does accept a future
Egyptian proposal, the manner in which it forced the Palestinian
population to act as human shields makes its leadership legally liable
to be tried for multiple war crimes.
The population of Gaza is a monolithic group
that is ruled at the point of a weapon. Nobody in the Gaza Strip is
permitted to openly criticize Hamas and its armed men. There isn't
anybody in the Gaza Strip who is unaware that while the IDF is
retaliating with bombardments, the leaders of Hamas and Islamic Jihad
are taking cover in bunkers and tunnels and civilian sites like
hospitals and schools, all this while the rest of the population is
exposed to the grisly results of the war.
The fabric of Gazan society is constantly on
the verge of imploding. The abject poverty has rendered the enclave a
pressure cooker whose lid is tightly held down by the force of Hamas'
cocked Kalashnikov rifles. Most Gazans are indeed anxious to celebrate
the deaths of Israeli civilians, but none of them are willing to pay the
price of foolishness that Hamas often pays in its repeated clashes with
Israel.
The threshold of pain and suffering as evinced
by Palestinian society doesn't stem from a choice or fortitude, but
rather from oppression and the exigencies of the prevailing
circumstances that prevent them from exercising their right to complain.
As such, one can only hear the grumbling and the discontent with Hamas
in private conversations, or genuine reports from the ground.
In the melancholy state of Palestinian
society, its leadership exploits the rage of the mobs while injecting
religious opium and lies about Israel's imminent demise into their
veins. Hamas leaders claimed that Israel had committed a grievous
intelligence oversight in failing to locate the organization's rockets
that it had accumulated in its arsenal over the years and failing to
foresee the appearance of amateur drones. But the fact that during the
war innocent civilians are executed on the pretense that they are
Israeli collaborators is a testament to the fact that the organization
has been infiltrated by Israeli intelligence and that it is gripped with
hysteria in light of the success attained by Israeli espionage.
What about Al-Aqsa?
As part of its efforts to maximize the number
of dead civilians, Hamas' terrorist arms aimed their rockets at
Jerusalem. Not only did they fire at the holy city, but they bragged
about it openly. By virtue of this criminal act, Hamas lost what little
legitimacy it claimed for itself as it relates to the religious demands
it presses in the city. It is worth recalling that Muslims initially
prayed in the direction of Jerusalem before this was changed by the
Prophet Mohammed. There are even those who claim that Jerusalem is the
third holiest city in Islam.
Either way, the very fact that Jerusalem is a
target for destruction constitutes an acknowledgment that the city is
not holy to Islam. Instead, it is merely a highly symbolic, quality
target for Hamas leaders. Indeed, it is de facto recognition of
Jerusalem as Israel's capital. Hamas' intention to harm the city deemed
by Jews, Christians, and Muslims alike to be a holy city is evidence of
its basic willingness to inflict damage on the holy sites of these three
faiths, including the Al-Aqsa Mosque.
Some Arabs in Jerusalem have claimed recently
that Hamas is trying to cause damage to Christian and Islamic holy sites
in order to later accuse the Jews of committing the deed. They said
that Hamas' wish is to see a rocket slam into these sites so that the
subsequent outrage would unite the fractured, war-torn Arab world which
would then set its sights on confronting Israel.
Hamas' targeting of the holy city offers the
West a glimpse into the thought process undertaken by a Islamist
radicals who are planning to impose a religious dominion on the rest of
the world. During the days of Fascist Italy, not even the most
diabolical mind ever conceived of bombarding the Vatican. The terrorists
who are now bombing each other's mosques will not hesitate to attack
churches in the Western world.
Taking the blows, quietly
In light of the Palestinians' rejection of the
cease-fire proposal, Israel received the green light from the West as
well as from Arab government to continue to strike the obstinate side.
For the Palestinians, all that is left to do is to wait for more attacks
against their infrastructure, and to keep quiet.
The final chord of this campaign must leave
the battered Hamas on the scene, rather than have it replaced by
somebody else. That is the beauty of deterrence. If and when new players
come on the scene, they will certainly have the same destructive
motivation toward us, but they will have to get reacquainted with the
rules of the game as dictated to their predecessors by Israel. That
would not be prudent or wise.
One should keep in mind that this isn't an
issue over whether Israel is capable of entering Gaza and liquidating
Hamas and its gunmen, but the cost-benefit ratio of this unwise move.
Since Hamas operatives are native to the Gaza Strip, they are eventually
compelled to undertake situational assessments and draw appropriate
conclusions out of a sense of responsibility for their battered,
exhausted people.
The chaos that would ensue if Israel did
liquidate Hamas would leave the land bereft of a responsible party that
would be forced to pay the price for misbehavior. The alternative
scenario whereby jihadist adventurers from various corners of the globe
would enter the vacuum is a bad one. These organizations would be happy
to spill the blood of their Palestinian hosts as a means to feed the
jihadist beast in the service of their deity. There is no doubt that
Ismail Haniyeh, two of whose nephews paid the ultimate price for their
involvement in terrorism against Israel, would see to take revenge as a
bereaved uncle yet whose pain would also be transmuted to fear and
deterrence. The price that comes with exacting this kind of pain is
rooted in the deterrence that Israel must preserve as it relates to
Hamas.
Israel must take advantage of the slew of
green lights that shine upon it and hit Hamas without mercy. As part of
the blows it needs to inflict, Israel much choose an operational plan
that is free of populist considerations.
Any cease-fire agreement must include the
opening of Gaza crossings solely on the Egyptian side, with the option
of enabling trade with Israel. But this should only be considered on
condition that the arsenal of rockets is dismantled under international
and Egyptian supervision (Cairo has plenty of motivation to see that
this is arranged). An agreement should also include a Hamas pledge to
halt the digging of tunnels as well as to destroy the tunnels it has
built while committing to a cessation of terrorist activities.
The chances of these demands being met are
slim, which is why Israel must take advantage of the time it is allotted
and to destroy Hamas' capabilities to the greatest extent possible. It
must develop technological capabilities that would enable automatic
interception fire at the source of Palestinian rocket fire without a
guiding Israeli hand.
This is the fate of a population who is
subject to the whims of every Palestinian terrorist who only needs to
squeeze the trigger and send a rocket in our direction. The world will
understand. If they have time, well, so do we.
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