Allon came up with the "Jordan Valley" peace plan. In this “plan,” Israel would cede Western Samaria (Shomron) - the part that is closest to Tel Aviv abutting the Green Line, and only keeps the eastern Samarian Jordan Valley - the part that is furthest from Tel Aviv, abutting the Jordan River and disconnected from Israel by Western Samaria.
For 45 years, all of Israel's governments have based all of their "peace" plans on Allon's Jordan Valley plan. For 45 years, all of Israel's governments have deluded themselves with a “plan” that is both idiotic and contrary to all basic principles of warfare.
Now, with US Secretary of State John Kerry reportedly trying to force a deal along the lines of the Allon Plan on Israel (with even more concessions than originally envisioned), it is more important than ever to understand what exactly the plan is - and why it is utterly suicidal for Israel to accept.
"The Concept" II
Israeli Military Intelligence loves to concoct and convince themselves of delusional theories.
Take the IDF's infamous "Concept" which it held prior to the 1973 Yom Kippur War: Egypt will only attack Israel if the Egyptian Air Force could take on Israel's Air Force.
According to the then-IDF Military Intelligence "experts", since Egypt hadn't upgraded its Air Force, an Egyptian attack on Israel was "irrational" and therefore impossible. How wrong they were. Egypt attacked, and used a high-tech interlocking web of Soviet anti-air missile batteries to create an air-defense umbrella for its marauding tanks that blew through Israel's “indestructible” Bar-Lev defense line.
In just one day, on October 6, 1973, the Israeli Air Force flew 446 daytime sorties and 262 night missions. Every Israeli sortie that day was a failure because the Egyptian SAM (Surface to Air Missile) air umbrella devastated the Israeli planes by homing in on the IDF's jamming pods.
The pre-1973 War IDF "Concept" was crazy, but now enters the greatest military folly of all time: The Allon "Jordan Valley" Plan.
So, who thought up the Allon Plan, what exactly is the Allon Plan, and why did Allon concoct it?
Actually, it’s tragically the exact same military strategic “geniuses” who convinced themselves of the Yom Kippur War “Concept I” who have now convinced themselves of the Allon Plan “Concept II.”
For simplicity sake, let's just look at the Northern Lobe of Judea and Samaria (the West Bank).
If you look at a cross-section elevation view of Judea and Samaria, from the Green Line working westward, the Western Samarian hills gently elevate to the watershed-crest line of the spine of the West Bank that runs north-south. Jerusalem sits astride the middle of this north-south West Bank crest-line.
From this crest line, the elevation drops steeply and meets the Jordan River. So, the left or west-of-the-crest-line part of the "West Bank" is about 75% of Judea and Samaria, with the right or east-of-the-crest-line part making up the remaining 25% or so.
It's indefensible firstly because it is virtually disconnected from the rest of Israel and hence, is almost impossible to access. Secondly, like the "Philadelphi corridor" in the Gaza Strip, it would be vulnerable to attacks from both the new Palestinian state to its west, and from Jordan to the east. Simply put, it's a death-trap.
So, Israeli soldiers going into the Jordan Valley to defend it will be coming out in body bags.
The "door" in the Allon Plan is the Jordan Valley zone that the Israeli generals think will keep out the terrorists they have already let into the "house" of the western Samarian Palestinian state.
In 1967, the US generals and admirals of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff made their own opinion very clear.
Instead of looking at the problem of Israel's defensible borders from Allon's purely political perspective of, "What to do with the Arabs in Western Samaria," they asked themselves the purely military question of "How do we defend and protect the lives of the 6 million Jews of Israel and Tel Aviv?" Looking through this objective, non-political view, they came to the exact opposite conclusion of General Allon: the hills of Western Samaria overlooked the low-land areas of Israel's key population centers in the Sharon coastal plain, and hence were absolutely vital to keep.
What's more, they clearly felt that the Jordan Valley was far from Israel's population centers and militarily irrelevant if Israel controlled the north-south West Bank crest-line overlooking the Jordan Valley.
They posited that Israel can't allow its population center of Tel Aviv to be exposed to "artillery," which today translates into "Palestinians will fire Katyushas into Tel Aviv from the hills of Western Samaria."
The hills of Samaria, they asserted, would expand the "narrow portion of Israel" which is only 9 miles wide without it, and "provide additional terrain to defend Tel Aviv," and "would provide adequate lines of communication for lateral movement."
In modern-day terms, this means that in the event of a Palestinian state in Judea and Samaria, it will be impossible for Israel to mobilize, and move its forces north and south through the Tel Aviv-corridor-bottleneck which will be under Palestinian attack.
With small, easily smuggleable modern-anti tank weapons and laser-designators, a Palestinian state could attack and paralyze Israel's "soft-underbelly" of the Tel Aviv-Netanya coastal plain. None of the US Joint Chiefs' reasons had anything to do with the Bible, or anything religious. They relied on timeless military truths.
Sadly, generations of Israeli officers have drank the "Kool-aid" of the Allon Plan and have merely created an even more lethal, if not suicidal, form of "The Concept I" of the 1973 War. For "The Concept II" of the Allon Plan doesn't just risk losing the Sinai, it risks losing Tel Aviv and the entire country of Israel.
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Thanks to NG