In recent years, Israel's operation
intelligence has been undergoing a revolution that could transform the
way Israeli military forces operate in the field • In the next war,
troops will know exactly what they face in each sector.
Shaping the nature of the
next war. An intelligence briefing
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Photo credit: Ziv Koren |
Very quietly, far from the public eye,
Israel's operational intelligence has been undergoing a dramatic process
in recent years that could change one of the best-known truths about
war completely: the one stating that the battlefield is the kingdom of
uncertainty.
This process, which is being revealed here for
the first time, could lift a significant portion of the fog that
accompanies every force that goes out to fight. Although question marks
will remain, they will be accompanied by many more solid facts, the most
important of them information about the location of the enemy and the
various threats. No longer will commanding officers go out to fight with
general information, relying on shreds of intelligence and what they
see through their binoculars. The next war will be based more
significantly upon intelligence, and will allow each force to know what
it faces in every sector.
This revolution, which will be called
"operational intelligence" here, is mainly the result of the failure
that accompanied the intelligence that was provided to the fighting
forces during the Second Lebanon War. This took the form not only of
meager information that was gathered about a few hundred incriminating
targets, which were all destroyed during the first two days of the war,
but also tactical intelligence that remained in the safes of the army's
Intelligence Directorate and was not given to the units that were
fighting on the ground in real time. "In the Second Lebanon War, we
realized that we were not functioning sufficiently as the army's
intelligence officers," said Brig. Gen. Eli Ben-Meir, the army's chief
intelligence officer. "We were good intelligence officers for the
political echelon, but far less good for the army itself. The battalion
commander isn't interested in what [Hezbollah leader Hassan] Nasrallah
is thinking, but in where the enemy is located."
The result was prolonged marching in place for
the field units in southern Lebanon on the one hand, and encountering
blood-drenched battles on the other. Precise intelligence would have
prevented or certainly made a dramatic change in the bloody fighting in
Wadi Saluki, during which Merkava tanks fell into an ambush of anti-tank
rockets that took many soldiers' lives. "That could never happen
today," says Col. Yehuda Fuchs, commander of the Nahal Brigade, which
was one of the first to implement the new approach. "If I got almost
zero intelligence so far, now I have a wealth of information that allows
me to make the maximum use of my troops."
This process has two main stages -- before the
battle and during it. The former includes the methodical transfer of
all the information gathered on a day-to-day basis, in a Sisyphean
effort and through an abundance of intelligence methods, to the
commanding officers in the field. All the intelligence is shared with
the division and brigade commanders, who can then match their
operational plans with the information that is relevant to each area,
with an emphasis on Lebanon and Gaza -- the two sectors where it is most
likely that the army will have to fight. By way of illustration, and
under restrictions that are well understood, we can say that a commander
who must fight in a particular village in southern Lebanon, for
example, will receive more than maps and current aerial photographs
(rather than ones that were last updated some years before, as happened
in 2006), in color. He will also be given pinpoint intelligence about
the enemy and the various threats in the sector -- and also about the
civilian population concentrations so that he may avoid harming
civilians as much as possible. "Once, I would raise my binoculars over a
village and see homes. Today I know about the variety of personnel
concentrations inside the village," Fuchs says. "That enables me not
only to plan better, but also to make better decisions in real time."
Awareness and technology
This information is not decentralized for all
the forces, but rather kept only by the senior commanders. The
lower-ranking commanders (battalion and company commanders) receive it
only in general form so that they may make their plans without risking
the intelligence that was gathered. They are given the full information
only when they go out to battle, when they receive the precise data
about the specific sector where they will be fighting. "This reduces the
unknown about the battlefield significantly and allows the troops to be
prepared for the specific threats that they face," says Ben-Meir.
The second stage of this process takes place
during the fighting. As part of it, the force that is fighting is
supposed to receive, online, relevant information about the enemy and
the threats in the sector. For example, this will enable a brigade
commander to ask to zoom in on the entrance to a village or a particular
building so make sure that it contains no threats, and receive answers
from intelligence sources within a short time. At the same time, all the
information that is gathered in real time by all means of intelligence
will be routed to him so that he can increase the force's effectiveness
significantly while neutralizing as many of the threats as possible and
avoiding harm to Israeli soldiers and innocent people on the other side.
These processes sound so obvious that one must
wonder why they had to wait until now to be used. The answer is
twofold: awareness and technology. It took the army years to free itself
from outdated perceptions about intelligence (which was always seen as
the one that was supposed to serve those in charge rather than the
troops) and about the battlefield (that those who controlled it were the
troops on both sides who fought fce to face, and intelligence was only a
supporting player there).
The fact that Maj. Gen. Avi Kochavi, the
current head of the army's Intelligence Directorate, came from the field
units definitely helped to move the process forward. As the commander
of the Paratroopers Brigade during Operation Defensive Shield, Kochavi
walked among the walls of the casbah to reduce the unknown, about which
he had been told that "between 200 and 2,000 terrorists" were there. The
operational intelligence approach that he now leads will create a much
clearer situation for those who inherit it. The second answer,
technology, is even more significant. The passing of intelligence to the
field, certainly during wartime, was clumsy and often impossible. New
computer and command and control systems allow an abundance of
information in real time from many sources. In general (under
information security restrictions), they can be used to transfer any bit
of information that is gathered by any source to any screen of any
commanding officer anywhere -- on a fighter jet, in a tank or at the top
of a hill in the field. When this information is entered into the
intelligence systems that are being used to manage the battle, the
result is a coherent picture in which the commander has all the
information about our own troops and about the enemy. In this way, the
company commander can receive on his laptop, in the field, information
and updates that join the information with which he went out to battle,
and the force will have a color printer that it can use to print out a
current aerial photograph of the village -- with all the threats --
which will keep the unknown to a minimum.
Putting this new approach into effect required
crossing quite a few restrictions and boundaries. Besides the built-in
problem of information security, intelligence first of all had to create
the information. That is the heart of the change: in parallel with the
strategic intelligence, to collect relevant intelligence as well for the
troops in the field; to develop means and recruit sources, run them
continuously and create a flow of tactical intelligence. This is a
Sisyphean, day-to-day effort that is much less exotic than intelligence
about a large arms-smuggling operation or a change in Iran's nuclear
program, but extremely important for managing the next war.
The next stage was connecting the systems,
first of all within the army's Intelligence Directorate, so that the
various units that gathered intelligence could "talk" to one another, on
a single platform, and pass uniform, available information to the
troops in the field and, beyond that, to the army, whose every branch --
ground, air, sea -- has its own systems for communications and command
and control. To enable the complete flow of information, the
teleprocessing department was brought in as a full partner in the
process (alongside the Intelligence Directorate and the Ground Forces
Branch, and the other branches and district commands to a lesser
extent), and it is supposed to allow the systems to communicate with
each other in a single language.
The final stage is making the information
available to the troops in the field in real time, but also in the
preparation processes. "The intelligence people come to the commanders
in the field and implement learning processes with them in front of
specific sectors," Ben-Meir says. "They learn the enemy and the threats
together, and they enter all the information that has been collected
into the operational plans so that they will be a better match for the
reality that awaits the troops in real time in the field." As part of
that effort, two "houses of study" have been established -- one in the
Galilee Division, which is in charge of Lebanon, and one in the Gaza
Division -- where commanding officers go and, together with intelligence
officials, update the operational plans according to the intelligence
that has been gathered.
Col. Fuchs says that this has led to a
dramatic change in the plans of combat and even the training exercises
themselves. "We still drill the troops for situations of uncertainty
lest they become addicted to the intelligence, and also because we
understand that in war, the situation changes and the enemy, too,
changes its form and location," he says. "But the operational
intelligence allows me to prepare my commanders so that they will know
the enemy's approach, logic and background, as well as the rationale
that governs the specific village where they are about to fight. Add to
that the intelligence that is received, even if it is less than I would
want, and they will run the battle much better than in the past."
One example of this, which also comes up in
practice maneuvers, is the battle of Bint Jbeil during the Second
Lebanon War, in which eight troops of the Golani Brigade were killed. It
was obvious to the troops then that the enemy was in the area and that
it was operating there to create friction that would expose them, so the
troops went from house to house until it was attacked by surprise and
hit. Under the new approach, troops operating in Bint Jbeil in the
future will be able to get a far clearer picture of the field and the
threats, and by using methods in real time -- including through
intelligence officials who are stationed in combat units in training and
in combat -- will be able to increase their effectiveness.
While officials of the army's Intelligence
Directorate refuse to state the degree of intelligence precision that
will be given to the troops about each sector, the drills proved that
most of the information that will be provided to the troops in advance
or in real time is of a high level of precision. Still, officials in
both the Intelligence and Ground Forces branches know that the
availability of the intelligence in the field during combat depends not
only on the nature of the sources but also on the technology. Since
malfunctions or cyber attacks could disrupt plans, the troops are
drilled carefully in "intelligence blindness" to prevent commanders from
developing a dangerous addiction to the intelligence, which could take
the form of helplessness during battle.
Avoiding technology addiction
At the same time, and to reduce dependence on
technology, the Intelligence Directorate is preparing an alternate plan
for the hour of reckoning. All the intelligence that is accumulated by
the various computer systems has a hard replacement that is kept in
safes and will be given to the troops when necessary. Division and
brigade commanders will receive an entire encyclopedia of their combat
sector and the company commander will be given a pocket handbook that is
updated periodically that contains aerial photographs of every building
and as precise information as possible about the threats in the area.
Just this backup requires an investment of millions of shekels per year,
and the entire project requires tens of millions. High-ranking officers
are assisting the process of internalizing this new approach in the
field units, and all the regular army's divisions and brigades have
already been made compatible with the operational intelligence approach.
Over the coming year, the process will be completed in all the reserve
units as well.
Kochavi, who is leading this process, has spoken from
the first about how army intelligence must be a "partner." It must not
only describe the situation and the enemy, but also influence and
participate -- not only at the decision-making level, but also at the
tactical level of the troops fighting in the field. At a conference of
operational intelligence personnel, which was held last week with the
participation of all the brigade and battalion commanders, Kochavi
warned against addiction to intelligence, saying that uncertainty would
continue to exist in the future. But behind his appropriate and
necessary statement urging caution, a new reality is taking shape that
could change the face of the next war dramatically.
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