U.S.-based think tank outlines bare minimum for robust interim deal on Iran nuclear program
No progress in negotiations over Syria peace talks, as reports emerge of secret undisclosed Syrian chemical weapons cache
Israel
expresses worries to Kerry over peace talks as Palestinian leaders
reject Jewish state recognition, celebrate murderer release
Iranian prisoners go on hunger strike over health conditions as Iran deepens execution wave
What we’re watching today:
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The New York Times late Wednesday published as assessment from
an Obama administration official describing the West as close to a
temporary deal with Iran regarding the country's nuclear program, amid increasingly assertive Congressional moves to circumscribe the White House's ability to ease sanctions in the absence of meaningful concessions from the Iranians.
The administration is said to be close to accepting a deal that would
trade what the Times described as "limited relief from economic
sanctions" in exchange for undisclosed concessions from Iran on nuclear
enrichment and its stockpile of enriched material. Congressional
lawmakers had already criticized any
deal that would permit Iran to continue enrichment activities or would
leave parts of Tehran's enriched stockpile intact, and today Sen. Bob
Corker (R-TN) floated legislation that would prevent the loosening of
sanctions in the absence of Iran meeting United Nations Security Council
resolutions calling for a full halt in the country's enrichment
activities. For their part analysts had already outlined how
a deal that left enrichment intact would, given Iran's current
enrichment technology, allow the Islamic republic to dash across the
nuclear finish line at will. The resulting uncertainty, according to
Washington Institute managing director Michael Singh, would risk a
full-blown a regional nuclear arms race. Yesterday the U.S.-based
Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) published an assessment [PDF] describing
the minimum details of any interim agreement that would meaningfully
extend Iran's breakout time. The ISIS report described five
prerequisites which Iran would have to undertake: (1) halting all
centrifuge installation and production, and disabling all but 9,000
existing centrifuges (2) halting all production of 20% uranium and
putting beyond use all 20% enriched uranium (3) disabling all
centrifuges at the country's underground military enrichment bunker at
Fordow (4) halting progress at its Arak complex, which includes a
plutonium reactor and a heavy-water production facility (5) accepting
new inspection and monitoring requirements, up to and including cameras
at all centrifuge plant locations or daily inspections.
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Reports emerged overnight and
throughout Tuesday of new challenges to Western efforts meant to dampen
Syria's almost three year conflict and to dismantle the Bashar al-Assad
regime's chemical weapons arsenal. CNN reported last night that
U.S. officials were examining classified documents showing that
Damascus had hidden some of its chemical weapons, potentially leaving
the Assad regime with "a secret cache" that would slip through the
international agreement - hammered out as the U.S. signaled it was
preparing to attack Syria - to destroy the country's stockpile. Top U.S.
policymakers have not yet openly commented on the substance of the
allegation, which would have involved a rogue regime lying about its
rogue activities. Meanwhile Lakhdar Brahimi, the United Nation's top
envoy to Syria, briefed reporters regarding ongoing talks between the
United States and Russia designed to create the framework for the
so-called Geneva II talks between Syria's warring camps. Brahimi
emphasized that though the global powers "still striving" to hold a
conference before the end of the year, Washington and Moscow had failed
to reach an agreement on the participation of Assad's ally Iran. Tehran
is widely seen as having provided crucial military and logistical
support enabling the regime to survive. Meanwhile Gulf states, which
have supported rebels seeking the Assad regime's overthrow, took aim at
the run-up to Geneva II and emphasized that talks could not be
"unconditional" and "shouldn't just go on indefinitely." The reports
came amid new violence that included the bombing of a railway company in Damascus that killed eight and wounded roughly 50 people
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Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has expressed worries to
Secretary of State John Kerry over the willingness of Palestinian
leaders to make peace with the Jewish state, days after Palestinian
Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas reiterated long-standing statements that he would never consent to recognizing the legitimacy of the Jewish state. Kerry's visit was preceded by a stumble in talks between
the Israelis and the Palestinians, with Palestinians negotiators
threatening to walk out of talks due to Israeli construction of Jewish
communities beyond its 1948 armistice lines and the Israelis accusing
their counterparts of manufacturing pretexts to break off talks.
Israeli-Palestinian negotiations had for years gone on in
the absence of a construction freeze by the Israelis. The Palestinian
signal that they may walk away from the table comes after Israel
conducted the second of four planned releases of Palestinian prisoners
convicted of murdering Israelis. TIME noted that there
were "joyful Palestinian celebrations welcoming the prisoners home as
heroes," which the outlet said "added to the Israeli public’s anger."
More precisely, among other things, Fatah leader Abbas Zaki told Israeli victims' families to
"go to your cemeteries and recite over your dead whatever you recite"
and described the released murderers as "fighters, knights, free men!"
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More than eighty Iranian prisoners have gone on a hunger strike to
protest a lack of medical care, according to a statement released
yesterday by the International Federation for Human Rights (FIDH),
Defenders of Human Rights Center (DRRC), and League for the Defense of
Human Rights in Iran (LDDHI). The statement also described
"torture during pre-trial detention and harsh sentences after extremely
unfair trials" and stated that "the Iranian authorities are silently
preparing the death of prisoners of conscience." It came on the same day
as Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reported that another 12 Iranian
prisoners had been executed amid
what the outlet described as "a surge in the use of the death penalty
there." The United Nation's special rapporteur on human rights in Iran had reported weeks
ago that there have been no fundamental improvements in Iran's human
rights situation since the election of Iranian president Hassan Rouhani.
Instead a wave of executions had already caused Iranian
dissidents to declare the "end of reform." Rouhani had appointed as his
justice minister Mostafa Pour-Mohammadi, a figure despised by human
rights advocates and anti-regime dissidents for helping to oversee the
1988 executions of thousands of political prisoners. Rouhani, himself a
revolutionary-era cleric, has a history of advocating the mass roundup and imprisonment of dissidents.
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